Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 221.926367 249.545021 280.083136 316.497835 358.924143 407.017763 465.978060
2025-03-23 180.719294 217.258445 261.177580 318.437110 391.975390 484.431425 611.372675
2025-03-30 154.333536 193.537186 243.245694 311.974657 406.267378 533.721931 723.705313
2025-04-06 137.323913 178.053537 231.949320 310.122344 423.431801 586.347525 847.345424
2025-04-13 120.349021 160.082388 214.420010 296.247301 420.167605 607.517306 926.246591
2025-04-20 113.749790 155.307451 214.099158 306.170827 452.240281 685.389916 1109.278707
2025-04-27 108.913709 152.321897 215.691432 318.654607 489.418506 776.762088 1334.942282
2025-05-04 101.842020 145.254924 210.288778 319.243399 506.842742 837.152973 1517.206338
2025-05-11 93.688070 135.777153 200.173882 310.828191 507.420468 867.142666 1645.973884
2025-05-18 86.980311 127.942666 191.864400 304.355864 510.269413 901.302819 1790.842921
2025-05-25 84.165926 125.956099 192.687674 313.471005 542.564381 997.573186 2097.656901
2025-06-01 79.863603 121.214611 188.505097 313.171776 556.787710 1059.460753 2340.793816
2025-06-08 74.816160 114.986422 181.468278 307.247766 559.791274 1099.515616 2545.234359
2025-06-15 71.414183 111.258617 178.422997 308.449747 577.473791 1175.520616 2870.865557
2025-06-22 67.176199 105.807136 171.899705 302.271022 578.746858 1213.852533 3102.911069
2025-06-29 63.979189 101.923379 167.853461 300.487445 589.209758 1276.172823 3429.478147
2025-07-06 59.405928 95.357253 158.474104 287.138864 572.223885 1267.046246 3525.848900
2025-07-13 58.334542 94.894132 160.262248 296.686485 608.715173 1403.125386 4165.625422
2025-07-20 57.616144 95.000672 163.098681 308.693458 652.857834 1570.342610 5001.764314
2025-07-27 55.529013 92.477115 160.714099 309.259655 669.237066 1663.237848 5598.698257
2025-08-03 52.583793 88.201863 154.638757 301.166470 662.753666 1687.439914 5921.537850
2025-08-10 50.054355 84.569088 149.598523 294.940482 660.326100 1723.908917 6320.316099
2025-08-17 49.309478 84.250145 151.118705 303.708363 698.712953 1898.746346 7477.777171